Author Topic: The Death of DVD  (Read 9182 times)

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Offline nacho

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The Death of DVD
« on: April 28, 2009, 04:55:40 PM »
Well, okay, not quite.  But now that we've lived through the insane whirlwind of format changes, it's worth paying attention to these early rumblings of change:

Quote
    Sales of Blu-Ray HD more than doubled in the first quarter, while digital downloads were up 19 percent, according to a report from the Digital Entertainment Group. Both formats are still a small piece of the overall pie—DVD sales were $2.9 billion in the quarter versus $230 million for Blu-Ray and $487 million for digital downloads. But Blu-Ray’s sales were up 400 percent last year, for a total of $750 million, and companies like Netflix and Blockbuster continue to make inroads against traditional DVD sales with digital delivery of home movies.

    DVD sales dropped 14 percent for the quarter.

Though I think we all could have guessed that... It's interesting to see the figures.

Offline Nubbins

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Re: The Death of DVD
« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2009, 05:00:59 PM »
My armchair opinion is that none of it will matter in 10 or 15 years because I think flash memory will evolve to the point where any type of spinning disc or storage that requires moving mechanisms and motors will be obsolete.

I could be talking out of my ass though, I dunno.
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Offline nacho

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Re: The Death of DVD
« Reply #2 on: April 28, 2009, 05:05:04 PM »
I'm really far behind when it comes to technology.  You mean like flash drives?  Wouldn't that sort of go hand in hand with that growing download/streaming market?

Offline RottingCorpse

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Re: The Death of DVD
« Reply #3 on: April 28, 2009, 05:21:30 PM »
Download/streaming is where most folks in the movie biz think things are heading.

The technological barrier becomes one of bandwidth. How do you deliver streaming HD content in a way that's fast and yet retains the quality that people with their increasingly high resolution TV screens will expect? If everybody is downloading HD movies, you're going to get huge traffic backup. (Think about how long it takes to download a movie.)

The other barrier is more one of social and economic theory. If I'm just streaming 1s and 0s, how do I "own" a copy of the movie? I'm expected to pay a fee to watch it, but is it unlimited? You're seeing a lot of this play out in the music industry, but no one has one industry standard of rules should download become the ONLY avenue for getting media content.

AND there's simple biology to deal with. The 1080i HD TVs everybody now owns is about the limit of resolution the human eye can process. I'm sure the technology exists to increase screen resolution, but the human eye isn't going to be able to process it. In essence, until we start beaming images directly to the cerebral cortex, as far as high definition resolution in concerned we've gone about as far as we can go.

All that's interesting theory to talk about if you're stoned, but not much use practically.

Eventually, I think you'll see some sort of internet/TV hybrid in which you order a movie which can then be stored on a (likely proprietary) hard drive. Personally, I'd like to see some sort of industry standard, but if the video and audio recording technology industry is any indication, everybody's shit will be proprietary so you have to buy a Paramount/Apple hard drive to watch a Paramount/Apple movie. (Kind of like PS3, Nintendo, Xbox, etc.)

Offline Reginald McGraw

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Re: The Death of DVD
« Reply #4 on: April 28, 2009, 05:45:56 PM »
I think we're going to see a phase out similar to what happened with:

vinyl->cassette->CD->online

movie theater->VCR->DVD->Blu-Ray/online

We're getting really close to that now.  There are just a few technical problems to solve.  Bandwidth is one, storage is another, but both issues are constantly improving.

Offline monkey!

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Re: The Death of DVD
« Reply #5 on: April 28, 2009, 05:46:56 PM »
You lose, DVD.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/8021012.stm

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A disc that can store 500 gigabytes (GB) of data, equivalent to 100 DVDs, has been unveiled by General Electric.
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Offline nacho

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Re: The Death of DVD
« Reply #6 on: April 28, 2009, 05:54:04 PM »
Yeah, I'm surprised to hear about bandwidth issues.  I'm usually downloading 1.2 gigs in four minutes these days... And I'm behind the times.  That's just Comcast's basic service.

How's all this change when the techie wizards finally get their hands on the frequencies cleared up by the forever delayed digital TV shift?

Offline RottingCorpse

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Re: The Death of DVD
« Reply #7 on: April 28, 2009, 05:56:12 PM »
Think about if EVERYBODY was downloading 500GB+ all at once.

Offline monkey!

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Re: The Death of DVD
« Reply #8 on: April 28, 2009, 05:59:55 PM »
Think about if EVERYBODY was downloading 500GB+ all at once.

I load 500GB all at once.
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Offline nacho

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Re: The Death of DVD
« Reply #9 on: April 28, 2009, 06:00:11 PM »
Think about if EVERYBODY was downloading 500GB+ all at once.

But only 20% of America can even plug their computers in.

Offline monkey!

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Re: The Death of DVD
« Reply #10 on: April 28, 2009, 06:28:56 PM »
Think about if EVERYBODY was downloading 500GB+ all at once.

But only 20% of America can even plug their computers in.

And we can have it on Holo-discs.
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Offline nacho

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Re: The Death of DVD
« Reply #11 on: April 28, 2009, 06:36:49 PM »
Or those comical tiny microrecorder tapes like they used in Clockwork Orange.  Ooh!  Futuristic technology!

Offline monkey!

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Re: The Death of DVD
« Reply #12 on: April 28, 2009, 06:47:01 PM »
Or your face.
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Offline nacho

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Re: The Death of DVD
« Reply #13 on: July 22, 2016, 11:29:49 AM »
This is a funny thread to take over for this news!

http://www.atlasobscura.com/articles/the-worlds-last-vcrs-will-be-produced-in-japan-this-month

I was going on and on to RC about this the other day... The last of the VCRs!

Quote
All good tech must come to an end. Funai Electric Comapany—the last known producers of Video Cassette Recorders, or VCRs—have hit "stop" on manufacturing, Japanese newspaper Nikkei reports.

VCRs (and their good buddies, VHS tapes) first hit the shelves in the 1970s and quickly rose to dominance, acting as the centerpiece technology for endless sleepovers, late night TV recordings, and screenings of shakily filmed Little League games. By the 1990s, 95% of American households had one. Just ten years later, though, DVD players were successfully muscling in on this territory, and producers of VCRs and VHS tapes slowly began to give up.

The last holdout was Funai, which built their recorders in China and sold them in North America under the Sanyo brand. According to Nikkei, Funai is stopping production this month, citing a shrinking market and the difficulty of finding parts.

One of the coolest things about VCRs is pressing that rewind button and listening to the tape spin back. Technological progress, however, moves relentlessly forward, and you can't rewind it, no matter how kind you are.